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According to the Betfair Barometer, which takes odds from Betfair Exchange to generate a percentage chance, Boris Johnson’s likelihood of facing a vote of no confidence in February is 25 percent (or odds of 14/5 on Betfair Exchange), a decrease of 13 percent following his reshuffle

Mr Johnson may have bought himself some time this month, but the chances of facing a vote of no confidence in March are much higher at 37 percent (13/8) on the Betfair Barometer.

Betfair Exchange spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said: “The Betfair Barometer gives Boris Johnson just a 25 percent chance (odds of 14/5) of facing a vote of no confidence in February, which indicates the PM has bought himself some time following the reshuffle as last week he was looking at a 38 percent chance of facing the wrath of his peers.

“While Johnson may avoid a referendum on his premiership in February, the chances of him facing a vote of no confidence in March are significantly higher at 37 percent on the Betfair Barometer – suggesting this isn’t over yet.

“Punters on Betfair Exchange are backing Rishi Sunak to swap No11 for No10 and he’s the clear 13/5 favorite to replace Johnson, ahead of Liz Truss who is next at 5/1 and Jeremy Hunt is 6/1.”

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